Monday, December 1, 2014

two ideas on resistance strategies in Mexico

Want to identify what targets would actually hurt the regime, listen to investor's worries:

"Violent protests in the capital city and coastal town of Acapulco have raised questions about police tactics and the government's ability to handle demonstrations.

For investors, "the question is whether it gets to the point where it's uncontrollable," Brian Jacobsen, a chief portfolio strategist with Wells Fargo Funds Management in Wisconsin, said. If activists move beyond street protests and start shutting down crucial airports, highways and shipping ports -- hindering activity in Mexico's $1.3 trillion economy -- that would give companies pause."

"If the Mexican government gets this right, the investment will flow in huge quantities," KPMG's Silva said. "But if there's any signs of corruption or any wrongdoing, that could endanger investment.

If investors perceive a rising political risk in Mexico, the country's stocks could start trading at a discount compared to their emerging market peers, Jacobsen said. "There could be a significant revaluation of their economy if these concerns persist," he said."
Source/ Fuente

First idea, destabilizing the market/ regime

The main agenda for activists in Mexico should be the exacerbation of the perception of instability in the market and in the regime.   If the money stops flowing because the market becomes too risky, I guarantee that national and foreign State and non-State actors will begin looking for other stabilizing agents inside of Mexico.  So concurrent with strategies that create the impression of mistrust and instability in the market/ regime, we need to continue to organize.

Second idea, the creation of parallel institutions

The key feature in any successful transfer of power is the creation of parallel institutions.  We must not  create a power vacuum. Let's continue with all of our efforts at organizing "civil society" as broadly and inclusively as possible.  We should look for ways to expand the inter-university assembly to include other broad-based sectors of society, perhaps beginning with organized labor within universities themselves.  This could eventually begin to function as a parallel governing body if we do our work consistently and openly.

We should also identify which key institutions to shadow.  As a beginning, I would suggest that education, healthcare, and policing would be good places to start.  We should begin to make our own schools, clinics, and auto-defense forces that are legitimated by our very own assemblies; we should look for affinity with already existent independently organized groups, like auto-defensas, policías comunitarios, escuelas Zapatistas, etc.

These are two ideas worth considering.

Finaly, let's be careful. As we already know first hand, markets tolerate a great deal of violence and injustice:
"Where energy resources are abundant, emerging market investors have a relatively high tolerance for civil unrest and questionable government tactics, for example in Venezuela, Iran and Nigeria."   Source/ Fuente

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